Lou Piniella confirmed today that Carlos Zambrano’s move to “long reliever” was really a prelude to bringing Big Z back to the rotation.â†µ
Now that the worst kept secret in the baseball world has been revealed, inquiring minds want to know: which current starter is going to be shifted to the pen to make room for Zambrano?â†µ
Many have slated Tom Gorzelanny as the likley casualty of Big Z’s return, but I think Carlos Silva is the more likely choice. Here’s three reasons why:â†µ
1. The Cubs pen has three lefties currently (Sean Marshall, John Grabow, James Russell)â†µ
2. Silva is regressing faster than Gorzelanny.â†µ
Silva’s ERA in April was a sparkling 1.73. In May, he’s sporting a 6.06. Gorzelanny has also had a poor May, but not quite as bad — he’s gone from a 2.45 ERA in April to a 5.0 ERA in May.â†µ
3. Silva, not Gorzelanny, is pitching over his head.â†µ
Silva’s current BABIP of .284 is considerably below both his 3 year (.323) and career (.313) averages. Gorzelanny’s current BABIP of .353 is considerably higher than his 3 year (.310) or career (.304) averages. This suggests that Silva is the pitcher who may yet see more bad outings on the horizon.