NCAA Final Four predictions: Experts picking Louisville

Andy Lyons

The experts all agree that the upsets will stop this weekend as Louisville will top Wichita State and then go on to win the National Championship.

This NCAA Tournament, and entire college basketball season, has been filled with upsets, yet the experts believe that the No. 1 overall seed, the Louisville Cardinals, will cut down the nets on Monday night.


Every expert is picking Louisville to end the Cinderella run of Wichita State on Saturday night and advance to the championship. All four CBS Sports experts predict that Louisville will not only win, but cover a 10.5-point spread as well. Over at OddsShark, they like the Cardinals to advance with a 82-75 victory. Professional prognosticator Nate Silver of the New York Times blog FiveThirtyEight gives Louisville a 84.6 percent chance of advancing past the Shockers.

The other semifinal has the same unanimous results, with every expert picking the Michigan Wolverines to knock off the Syracuse Orange. All four CBS Sports experts agree and believe the Wolverines will cover their spread, but OddsShark projects a thriller, with Michigan coming out on top 80-79. Silver also has this game a lot closer, giving the Wolverines a 51.9 percent advantage.

Overall, Silver likes the Cardinals, putting Louisville's chances to cut down the nets at 55 percent compared to 21.2 percent for Michigan, 19 percent for Syracuse, and 4.7 percent for Wichita State. OddsShark also believes it will be Louisville left standing in the end, citing the success of favorites in past Final Fours.

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